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House District 111

Cleveland & Rutherford counties · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+44.7
runs 43.0 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Republicans since 2018
2024 result
R+47.8
won by Scott (R)
Jerry Blake
Democrat · Candidate
  • Bio unavailable
Rep. Paul Scott
Republican · Incumbent
  • Pastor representing Cleveland and Rutherford counties in the NC House.
  • His career experience includes work as a firefighter, chaplain, and client technologies architect for the Duke University Health System.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 111, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$57,480
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
20%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
16%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
74%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
5.9%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
11%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Shelby 32% · Kings Mountain 28% · Mooresboro 9% · Ellenboro 9% · Forest City 7%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 60k voters are registered here; 43,807 voted in 2024.

White
81%
84%
Black
15%
13%
Hispanic
2.0%
1.4%
Asian
0.5%
0.4%
American Indian
0.1%
0.1%
Other
1.5%
0.9%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (8% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2022 (100% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 26% to 32%.

Precinct detail

17 precincts.

About this seat

HD-111 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+44.7. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Republicans have gained 2.2 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 4.5 points their way.

Campaign money

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Blake (D) $0 cash$5K cash Scott (R)
Scott has a committee on file; Blake has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: Blake $0 / Scott $23K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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