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House District 2

Person & Durham counties · 2026

Likely D

Partisan baseline (2024)

D+13.0

runs 14.7 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Republicans since 2018

2024 result

D+15.2

won by Jeffers (D)

Rep. Ray Jeffers

Democrat · Incumbent

Farmer and nonprofit administrator representing Durham and Person counties in the NC House.
First elected in 2022 and serving his second term; attended Piedmont Community College and North Carolina A&T State University.

campaign site

–

No major party opponent

Republican · 2026

No Republican is on the November ballot for this seat.

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 2, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income

$75,978

▲ vs NC · NC $75k

Bachelor's degree or higher

31%

▼ vs NC · NC 36%

Poverty rate

13%

▼ vs NC · NC 13%

Homeownership

78%

▲ vs NC · NC 67%

Unemployment

5.3%

▲ vs NC · NC 4.7%

Uninsured rate

10%

▲ vs NC · NC 10%

Top communities: Durham 47% · Roxboro 27% · Timberlake 8% · Rougemont 5% · Bahama 5%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 65k voters are registered here; 50,695 voted in 2024.

White

62%

65%

Black

30%

28%

Hispanic

4.3%

3.4%

Asian

1.2%

American Indian

0.3%

Other

2.4%

1.8%

Registered (2024)Voted (2024)

Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (8% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2020 (58% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 56% to 59%.

Precinct detail

19 precincts.

About this seat

HD-2 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+13.0. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Republicans have gained 1.8 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 3.7 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›

Jeffers (D) $10K cashNo Republican on the ballot

Jeffers (D) is unopposed by a Republican and holds $10K cash on hand. Raised this cycle: $12K. No Republican is on the November ballot here, so no committee reports on that side.

Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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