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House District 28

Johnston County · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+30.9
runs 29.2 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+37.8
won by Strickland (R)
D. Matthew Bailey
Democrat · Candidate
  • Bio unavailable
campaign site
Rep. Larry C. Strickland
Republican · Incumbent
  • Real estate appraiser and farmer.
  • Serving his fifth term representing Johnston County in the state House.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 28, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$69,291
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
20%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
15%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
71%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
3.6%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
13%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Smithfield 25% · Benson 16% · Four Oaks 16% · Selma 15% · Princeton 8%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 60k voters are registered here; 43,490 voted in 2024.

White
71%
77%
Black
18%
16%
Hispanic
7.6%
5.1%
Asian
0.4%
0.4%
American Indian
0.3%
0.2%
Other
2.3%
1.3%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (8% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 28% to 35%.

Precinct detail

18 precincts.

About this seat

HD-28 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+30.9. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 1.0 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 2.1 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Bailey (D) $0 cash$72K cash Strickland (R)
Strickland has a committee on file; Bailey has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: Bailey $0 / Strickland $265K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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