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House District 31

Durham County · 2026
Likely D
Partisan baseline (2024)
D+61.5
runs 63.1 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Republicans since 2018
2024 result
Uncontested
no major-party opponent filed · Hawkins (D) unopposed
Rep. Zack Hawkins
Democrat · Incumbent
  • Democrat representing Durham County in the NC House.
  • Serving his fourth term.
campaign site
–
No major party opponent
Republican · 2026
  • No Republican is on the November ballot for this seat.

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 31, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$84,478
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
47%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
12%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
56%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
13%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Durham 92% · Morrisville 6% · Raleigh 2% · Wake Forest 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 71k voters are registered here; 50,423 voted in 2024.

White
38%
41%
Black
47%
46%
Hispanic
7.0%
6.0%
Asian
3.6%
3.7%
American Indian
0.3%
0.3%
Other
4.3%
3.1%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (13% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2020 (99% estimated), 2022 (97% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot; 2024 uncontested (100% estimated) - no major-party opponent, so the value shown is the district’s underlying partisanship, not an election result. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 82% to 82%.

Precinct detail

17 precincts.

About this seat

HD-31 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+61.5. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Republicans have gained 0.6 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 1.1 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Hawkins (D) $40K cashNo Republican on the ballot
Hawkins (D) is unopposed by a Republican and holds $40K cash on hand. Raised this cycle: $50K. No Republican is on the November ballot here, so no committee reports on that side.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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