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House District 33

Wake County · 2026
Likely D
Partisan baseline (2024)
D+43.9
runs 45.6 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
Uncontested
no major-party opponent filed · Johnson-Hostler (D) unopposed
Rep. Monika Johnson-Hostler
Democrat · Incumbent
  • Executive director of the North Carolina Coalition Against Sexual Assault, serving her first term in the NC House.
  • Has served on the Wake County Board of Education, including as its chair.
campaign site
Matthew Orr
Republican · Candidate
  • Bio unavailable

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 33, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$81,871
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
38%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
11%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
64%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
13%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Raleigh 62% · Garner 38% · Clayton 1% · Rolesville 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 65k voters are registered here; 46,249 voted in 2024.

White
43%
48%
Black
43%
41%
Hispanic
7.4%
5.7%
Asian
2.2%
2.3%
American Indian
0.3%
0.3%
Other
4.2%
2.9%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (11% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2024 uncontested (100% estimated) - no major-party opponent, so the value shown is the district’s underlying partisanship, not an election result. See Methodology. Solid points can also carry a smaller estimated share where old district lines crossed today’s (2022 29%); hover any point for the exact split.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 71% to 72%.

Precinct detail

15 precincts.

About this seat

HD-33 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+43.9. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 0.5 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 1.0 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Johnson-Hostler (D) $7K cash$0 cash Orr (R)
Johnson-Hostler holds the cash-on-hand edge. Raised this cycle: Johnson-Hostler $17K / Orr $740.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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