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House District 41

Wake County · 2026
Likely D
Partisan baseline (2024)
D+34.5
runs 36.2 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
Uncontested
no major-party opponent filed · Cervania (D) unopposed
Rep. Maria Cervania
Democrat · Incumbent
  • Epidemiologist and biostatistician from Wake County.
  • Serving her second term in the NC House.
campaign site
Bruce Forster
Republican · Candidate
  • Small business owner in the Triangle area.
campaign site

Election night results

Follow this race ›

Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 41, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$135,087
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
75%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
3%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
54%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
3.5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
3%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Cary 54% · Morrisville 31% · Raleigh 14%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 61k voters are registered here; 45,737 voted in 2024.

White
58%
61%
Black
13%
12%
Hispanic
4.2%
3.8%
Asian
16%
16%
American Indian
0.6%
0.5%
Other
7.8%
6.9%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (10% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2024 uncontested (100% estimated) - no major-party opponent, so the value shown is the district’s underlying partisanship, not an election result. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 67% to 69%.

Precinct detail

12 precincts.

About this seat

HD-41 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+34.5. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 1.7 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 3.4 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Cervania (D) $11K cash$192 cash Forster (R)
Cervania holds 58.2x the cash on hand. Raised this cycle: Cervania $22K / Forster $740.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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