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House District 45

Cumberland County · 2026
Likely D
Partisan baseline (2024)
D+17.9
runs 19.6 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Republicans since 2018
2024 result
Uncontested
no major-party opponent filed · PhD (D) unopposed
Rep. Frances Jackson
Democrat · Incumbent
  • Educator and adjunct professor with a Ph.D. in public policy and administration.
  • Serving her second term in the state House after working as a community and transit planner for the Cumberland County Metropolitan Planning Organization.
campaign site
–
No major party opponent
Republican · 2026
  • No Republican is on the November ballot for this seat.

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 45, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$65,584
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
27%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
16%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
64%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
8.3%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
10%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Fayetteville 69% · Hope Mills 27% · Parkton 4%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 58k voters are registered here; 35,726 voted in 2024.

White
41%
44%
Black
42%
43%
Hispanic
8.6%
7.2%
Asian
1.9%
1.8%
American Indian
1.4%
1.3%
Other
5.0%
3.5%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (9% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2024 uncontested (100% estimated) - no major-party opponent, so the value shown is the district’s underlying partisanship, not an election result. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 57% to 60%.

Precinct detail

17 precincts.

About this seat

HD-45 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+17.9. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Republicans have gained 1.4 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 2.8 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Jackson (D) $4K cashNo Republican on the ballot
Jackson (D) is unopposed by a Republican and holds $4K cash on hand. Raised this cycle: $40K. No Republican is on the November ballot here, so no committee reports on that side.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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