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House District 68

Union County · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+22.4
runs 20.7 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+25.0
won by Willis (R)
Derek Warriner
Democrat · Candidate
  • Healthcare executive with 15 years of experience in the industry.
  • He holds a bachelor's degree from Santa Clara University.
campaign site
Rep. David Willis
Republican · Incumbent
  • Small business owner serving as a state House member from Union County.
  • He is serving his third term in the NC House.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 68, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$143,579
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
56%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
89%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
3.6%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
4%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Waxhaw 71% · Monroe 16% · Matthews 14% · Indian Trail 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 74k voters are registered here; 56,584 voted in 2024.

White
78%
80%
Black
8.6%
8.3%
Hispanic
4.6%
4.2%
Asian
4.6%
4.7%
American Indian
0.4%
0.5%
Other
3.2%
2.7%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (12% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2022 (99% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 37% to 38%.

Precinct detail

17 precincts.

About this seat

HD-68 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+22.4. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 2.0 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 4.1 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Warriner (D) $58K cash$61K cash Willis (R)
Willis holds 1.0x the cash on hand. Raised this cycle: Warriner $73K / Willis $77K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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