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House District 69

Union County · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+24.8
runs 23.1 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+26.4
won by Arp (R)
Heidi Sinsley
Democrat · Candidate
  • Attorney and community advocate from Stallings.
  • She earned her law degree from the University of South Carolina in 2021 and has practiced insurance, real estate, and estate law.
campaign site
Rep. Dean Arp
Republican · Incumbent
  • Engineer serving as a state House member from Union County.
  • He is serving his seventh term in the NC House.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 69, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$99,055
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
39%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
7%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
82%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
6%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Indian Trail 44% · Monroe 30% · Matthews 26% · Charlotte 1% · Midland 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 71k voters are registered here; 53,964 voted in 2024.

White
77%
80%
Black
12%
11%
Hispanic
6.4%
5.4%
Asian
2.0%
1.9%
American Indian
0.2%
0.2%
Other
3.0%
2.2%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (14% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 35% to 37%.

Precinct detail

19 precincts.

About this seat

HD-69 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+24.8. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 2.1 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 4.2 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Sinsley (D) $3K cash$18K cash Arp (R)
Arp holds 6.9x the cash on hand. Raised this cycle: Sinsley $3K / Arp $110K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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