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House District 78

Moore & Randolph counties · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+48.9
runs 47.2 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Republicans since 2018
2024 result
R+52.8
won by Jackson (R)
Matt Holway
Democrat · Candidate
  • West End resident who has lived in North Carolina for 40 years.
  • Selected by the Moore County Democratic Party in July 2026 to fill the party's ballot line for the seat after the original nominee withdrew.
campaign site
Rep. Neal Jackson
Republican · Incumbent
  • Pastor of Beulah Baptist Church in Bennett and owner of an insurance and financial planning firm.
  • Serving his second term representing Moore and Randolph counties in the state House.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 78, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$72,481
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
30%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
12%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
82%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
3.7%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
9%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Asheboro 23% · Pinehurst 23% · Seven Lakes 8% · Ramseur 6% · Robbins 5%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 66k voters are registered here; 52,867 voted in 2024.

White
89%
91%
Black
5.3%
4.5%
Hispanic
3.7%
2.4%
Asian
0.6%
0.5%
American Indian
0.3%
0.3%
Other
1.3%
0.9%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (5% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2020 (55% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 24% to 27%.

Precinct detail

20 precincts.

About this seat

HD-78 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+48.9. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Republicans have gained 0.6 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 1.2 points their way.

Campaign money

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Holway (D) $0 cash$78K cash Jackson (R)
Jackson has a committee on file; Holway has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: Holway $0 / Jackson $256K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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