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House District 95

Iredell County · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+27.3
runs 25.6 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+29.0
won by Carver (R)
Michael Robinson
Democrat · Candidate
  • Business consultant from Mooresville.
  • Has lived in Iredell County for 25 years and received the Order of the Long Leaf Pine for his community service to the state.
Rep. Richard (Todd) Carver
Republican · Incumbent
  • Retired law enforcement officer.
  • Serving his first term in the state House after U.S. Air Force service from 1990 to 1994.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

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Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of House District 95, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$102,097
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
49%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
6%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
70%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
3.9%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
6%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Mooresville 99% · Davidson 1% · Troutman 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 70k voters are registered here; 52,941 voted in 2024.

White
84%
86%
Black
8.2%
7.1%
Hispanic
3.8%
3.1%
Asian
1.5%
1.5%
American Indian
0.2%
0.2%
Other
2.3%
1.9%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (6% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 33% to 36%.

Precinct detail

9 precincts.

About this seat

HD-95 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+27.3. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 1.4 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 2.8 points their way.

Campaign money

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Robinson (D) $0 cash$19K cash Carver (R)
Carver has a committee on file; Robinson has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: Robinson $0 / Carver $32K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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