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Senate District 30

Davidson & Davie counties · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+45.0
runs 43.3 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+49.2
won by Jarvis (R)
Pamela D. McAfee
Democrat · Candidate
  • Bio unavailable
Sen. Steve Jarvis
Republican · Incumbent
  • Owner of a construction business.
  • Serving his third term in the state Senate after one term in the state House.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

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Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of Senate District 30, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$66,958
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
23%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
12%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
76%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.2%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
9%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Lexington 37% · Thomasville 18% · Mocksville 13% · Winston-Salem 10% · Advance 6%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 155k voters are registered here; 120,503 voted in 2024.

White
85%
88%
Black
9.2%
7.8%
Hispanic
3.3%
2.3%
Asian
0.7%
0.6%
American Indian
0.2%
0.2%
Other
1.6%
1.0%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (7% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 24% to 27%.

Precinct detail

57 precincts.

About this seat

SD-30 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+45.0. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 1.3 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 2.5 points their way.

Campaign money

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McAfee (D) $0 cash$147K cash Jarvis (R)
Jarvis has a committee on file; McAfee has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: McAfee $0 / Jarvis $153K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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