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Senate District 31

Forsyth & Stokes counties · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+21.8
runs 20.1 pts more Republican than NC overall · stable across recent cycles
2024 result
R+25.0
won by Jones (R)
Andy Bowline
Democrat · Candidate
  • Winston-Salem software developer who co-founded a health technology startup and is now a stay-at-home father.
  • Ran the company for seven years until it was acquired in 2023 and holds an MBA from Wake Forest University.
campaign site
Sen. Dana Caudill Jones
Republican · Incumbent
  • State senator for District 31 and owner of Caudill's Commercial Electric Company in Kernersville.
  • Served four terms on the Kernersville Board of Aldermen before taking office in the state Senate in January 2025.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of Senate District 31, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$76,339
NC
▲ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
34%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
10%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
77%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.4%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
8%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Kernersville 25% · Winston Salem 18% · Clemmons 12% · King 8% · Lewisville 7%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 164k voters are registered here; 130,236 voted in 2024.

White
79%
82%
Black
13%
12%
Hispanic
4.2%
3.2%
Asian
1.1%
1.1%
American Indian
0.2%
0.2%
Other
2.0%
1.4%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (7% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm
Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2022 (68% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot. See Methodology.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 38% to 40%.

Precinct detail

62 precincts.

About this seat

SD-31 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+21.8. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Its baseline has been essentially stable since 2018.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›
Bowline (D) $5K cash$60K cash Jones (R)
Jones holds 12.6x the cash on hand. Raised this cycle: Bowline $9K / Jones $48K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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