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Senate District 38

Mecklenburg County · 2026

Likely D

Partisan baseline (2024)

D+38.0

runs 39.7 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018

2024 result

Uncontested

no major-party opponent filed · Mohammed (D) unopposed

Sen. Mujtaba A. Mohammed

Democrat · Incumbent

State senator for District 38 in Mecklenburg County and a public interest attorney.
First took office in the state Senate in January 2019 and is now in his fourth term.

campaign site

–

No major party opponent

Republican · 2026

No Republican is on the November ballot for this seat.

Election night results

Follow this race ›

Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of Senate District 38, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income

$89,706

▲ vs NC · NC $75k

Bachelor's degree or higher

50%

▲ vs NC · NC 36%

Poverty rate

▼ vs NC · NC 13%

Homeownership

57%

▼ vs NC · NC 67%

Unemployment

2.6%

▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%

Uninsured rate

▼ vs NC · NC 10%

Top communities: Charlotte 62% · Huntersville 31% · Cornelius 6% · Davidson 1% · Concord 0%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 166k voters are registered here; 117,762 voted in 2024.

White

48%

51%

Black

40%

38%

Hispanic

5.7%

4.9%

Asian

2.4%

2.3%

American Indian

0.2%

Other

3.8%

2.8%

Registered (2024)Voted (2024)

Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (7% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

Hollow points are estimates, not measured results: 2020 (70% estimated) modeled - no contested legislative race covered enough of this ground to measure, so most of the value is estimated from statewide races on the same ballot; 2024 uncontested (100% estimated) - no major-party opponent, so the value shown is the district’s underlying partisanship, not an election result. See Methodology. Solid points can also carry a smaller estimated share where old district lines crossed today’s (2022 47%); hover any point for the exact split.

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 67% to 68%.

Precinct detail

24 precincts.

About this seat

SD-38 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+38.0. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 1.5 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 3.1 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›

Mohammed (D) $-3K cashNo Republican on the ballot

Mohammed (D) is unopposed by a Republican and holds $-3K cash on hand. Raised this cycle: $58K. No Republican is on the November ballot here, so no committee reports on that side.

Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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