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Senate District 48

Henderson, Rutherford & Polk counties · 2026
Likely R
Partisan baseline (2024)
R+25.5
runs 23.8 pts more Republican than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018
2024 result
R+27.8
won by Moffitt (R)
Doyle G. Brown, Jr.
Democrat · Candidate
  • Bio unavailable
campaign site
Sen. Tim Moffitt
Republican · Incumbent
  • State senator for District 48 and owner of Moffitt International, a management consulting firm.
  • Previously served in the NC House and took office in the state Senate in January 2023.
campaign site

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of Senate District 48, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income
$63,362
NC
▼ vs NC · NC $75k
Bachelor's degree or higher
32%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 36%
Poverty rate
13%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 13%
Homeownership
75%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 67%
Unemployment
4.5%
NC
▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%
Uninsured rate
12%
NC
▲ vs NC · NC 10%
Top communities: Hendersonville 36% · Rutherfordton 9% · Forest City 9% · Fletcher 7% · Flat Rock 5%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 158k voters are registered here; 117,906 voted in 2024.

White
90%
92%
Black
4.8%
3.9%
Hispanic
3.2%
2.4%
Asian
0.5%
0.5%
American Indian
0.1%
0.1%
Other
1.5%
1.1%
Registered (2024)Voted (2024)
Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (6% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 35% to 38%.

Precinct detail

59 precincts.

About this seat

SD-48 is rated Likely R from its 2024 partisan baseline of R+25.5. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 0.8 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 1.6 points their way.

Campaign money

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Brown (D) $0 cash$159K cash Moffitt (R)
Moffitt has a committee on file; Brown has no machine-readable figures (nothing filed yet, or filed on paper). Raised this cycle: Brown $0 / Moffitt $81K.
Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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