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Senate District 49

Buncombe County · 2026

Likely D

Partisan baseline (2024)

D+37.2

runs 38.9 pts more Democratic than NC overall · moving toward Democrats since 2018

2024 result

D+38.2

won by Mayfield (D)

Sen. Julie Mayfield

Democrat · Incumbent

State senator for District 49 in Buncombe County, an attorney and former co-director of the environmental organization MountainTrue.
Took office in the state Senate in January 2021 and serves as secretary of the Senate Democratic caucus.

campaign site

CJ Domingo

Republican · Candidate

Bio unavailable

Election night results

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Live returns and a precinct map for this race on Nov. 3.

Early voting

See early voting ›

Ballots cast so far in this district, in person and by mail. Updated every morning.

Who lives here

The people of Senate District 49, from the Census American Community Survey (2020-2024). The dark tick on each bar marks North Carolina overall.

Median household income

$76,381

▲ vs NC · NC $75k

Bachelor's degree or higher

49%

▲ vs NC · NC 36%

Poverty rate

12%

▼ vs NC · NC 13%

Homeownership

63%

▼ vs NC · NC 67%

Unemployment

4.5%

▼ vs NC · NC 4.7%

Uninsured rate

11%

▲ vs NC · NC 10%

Top communities: Asheville 66% · Arden 12% · Candler 7% · Weaverville 6% · Swannanoa 4%

Who registers vs. who votes

Each group's share of registered voters against its share of those who actually voted in 2024. About 166k voters are registered here; 121,483 voted in 2024.

White

87%

90%

Black

6.3%

5.0%

Hispanic

3.2%

2.6%

Asian

0.9%

0.8%

American Indian

0.2%

0.1%

Other

2.5%

2.0%

Registered (2024)Voted (2024)

Voter race and ethnicity are self-reported at registration; voters without a designation (8% here) are excluded from the voted-side shares. Source: NCSBE voter file, 2024.

How this seat has moved

Actual result (solid)MRPI composite (dashed)Shaded = midterm

How far this district swings

Across these cycles the Democratic share of the two-party vote here has ranged from 65% to 69%.

Precinct detail

60 precincts.

About this seat

SD-49 is rated Likely D from its 2024 partisan baseline of D+37.2. Districts this far from even are not competitive in a typical cycle - the outcome tracks the district’s underlying partisanship rather than individual campaigns. Democrats have gained 2.1 points of vote share here since 2018, moving the seat’s two-way margin 4.3 points their way.

Campaign money

Follow the money ›

Mayfield (D) $29K cash$1K cash Domingo (R)

Mayfield holds 28.4x the cash on hand. Raised this cycle: Mayfield $240K / Domingo $2K.

Actual legislative results, observed except where marked · NCSBE 2018–2024 · boundaries: Redistricting Data Hub (redistrictingdatahub.org) · demographics: Census ACS 2020–2024 · voter file: NCSBE
Data as of October 29, 2026 · campaign finance last refreshed August 20, 2026
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